"Man-Made" Global Warmers Determined Wrong
By Kevin Roeten (01/31/08)
People who swear by the idea that man can affect climate - may drown in their own blood in a minute. The one factor left out is proof positive that elevated CO2 does not cause Global Warming. The debate is over. A good scientist can't afford to miss this data.
If one looks at all temperature correlations and CO2 levels, there appears to be absolutely no correlation between the two variables. Granted, CO2 levels are at 370ppm right now--the highest they’ve been since 1850. But if one looks at the two above variables closely, the case can be made that the rising temperatures are actually responsible for increasing CO2 levels.
From the Scripps Institute (Mauna Loa), it can be seen that CO2 levels have increased virtually every year since 1850. But other sources---tree rings, ice cores, etc…, say that CO2 levels at earlier times have been more than 7x that of today. Per Noel Sheppard(economist; editor of Newsbusters), there have been 72 years in the past 156 (53.8 %) when global average temperatures declined.
Highly correlated items will tend to follow each other, going higher or lower. But in the years that global warming alarmists use to prove this absent correlation, there was virtually no year-over-year connection between CO2 concentrations and temperature. But there are other options that should be evaluated to determine what might be causing the 0.8 oC/century rise lately in surface temperature. Joe D’Aleo (Certified Consulting Meteorlogist) decided to compare the three most probable causes.
He took the newly released USHCN2 surface temperature data set, and compared it against potential climate drivers of CO2, Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO), and Total Solar Irradiance(TSI).
We know both the Pacific and Atlantic undergo multidecadal cycles of 50-70 years. A warm Pacific(PDO) found from 1922-1947, and again in 1977-1997 was accompanied by more El Ninos, while a cool Pacific more La Ninas. El Ninos and La Ninas have been shown to lead to global warming and to global cooling respectively, and significantly affect temperature trends in North America.
From the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, Authur B. Robinson, Noah B. Robinson, and Willie Soon have come to the conclusion that increased levels of CO2 have not produced any deleterious effects upon earth’s weather and climate. The earth has been much warmer during the past 3000 years without catastrophic effects. More CO2 will help all people, maintain and improve the health, longevity, prosperity, and productivity. The most practical, economical, and environmentally sound methods available are nuclear and hydrocarbon technologies.
Bottom line, the PDO, AMO, and the TSI all seem to have significantly closer correlations to surface temperatures than CO2. All this information can be found at [ICECAP] or papers by D’Aleo. Any access to CO2 concentrations over the last 150 years, and correlated PDO, AMO, and TSI data will readily show the above conclusions.
The same major climate myth was debunked by Catherine Brahic (NewScientist/[5/17/07]). She showed ice cores with CO2 increases that lag behind temperature rises, disproving the link to Global Warming. It’s estimated the lags may have been approximately 800 years. From Holly Fretwell (research fellow/ Property and Environment Research Center [PERC]):“…the data that shows CO2 levels and temperature changes over the last 650,000 years, what we find is that temperature actually changes first and CO2 in the atmosphere follows that temperature change.”
Once this information settles in with “Global Warming” alarmists, two types will likely emerge. 1) Those that refuse to believe the actual data, and hold fast to their position because they don’t want to be considered wrong. And, 2) Those that will start screaming about concerns over the oncoming Global Cooling impact. That is if the other 17 known facts about natural causes of warming isn’t carefully considered as well.
D’Aleo concludes “Given the recent cooling of the Pacific and Atlantic and rapid decline in solar activity, we might anticipate given these correlations, temperatures to accelerate downward shortly.” Without CO2 driving climate, it is likely global warming alarmists won’t know what to do with themselves.
Kevin Roeten
http://kevinroeten.us/
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