The Catastrophe of Regulating Global Warming
By Kevin Roeten (07/18/08)
"Man-made" global warming is more complicated than ever. The real problems lie in the fact that it may be 20-50 years before some believe there's enough definitive evidence that exists. Many want to react immediately to a situation that has existed since the beginning of time itself. The following are the facts we know. Your response indicates whether you are open to facts or not.
Major known factors in global warming are 1) CO2 production[man-made], 2) Sunspot activity[natural], 3) cloud formation[natural], 3) cyclic variations in earth’s orbit around the sun[natural], 4) sun’s x-rays, cosmic rays, and magnetic fields[natural], and 5) sun variability[natural].
But a look at each clears the field. It has been scientifically determined that CO2 concentrations have been 20 times higher in the past than today. It is also known that man produces < 3% of global warming CO2. The other 97% of global warming gases (H2O) is not controlled by man.
More importantly, extremely accurate overlays of all past temperature increases have shown that any temperature increase almost always precedes a CO2 increase. The question of whether a temperature increase actually causes a CO2 increase seems moot. Besides, the scientific community has long since realized that correlation is not causation.
The well-known 11-year “Schwabe” sunspot cycle can be noted from the diagram by Hathaway (NASA/ MSFC). Sunspots are currently at a minimum, and the usual barrage of x-rays, cosmic rays, and strong magnetic fields from sunspots are also at a minimum.
Danish researchers (Svendsmark & Friis-Christensen) experimentally verified the physical mechanism by which cosmic rays affect cloud cover. It is known that clouds cool the climate by reflecting ~20% of incoming solar radiation. But there are few cosmic rays with no sunspots.
Each ice age lasts about 100,000 years, but is punctuated by “interglacials” or warmer periods that we are in now. It can be seen this ongoing cycle matches cyclic variations in earth’s orbit around the sun, which is definitely not a perfect circle.
According to NASA temperature sensing instruments Mars, Jupiter, Pluto, and Titan (moon of Neptune) is actually undergoing a measure of global warming with the earth. It is also known that our sun is actually a variable star of ~0.4%.
Per Senator James Inhofe(R/ Ok), the truly scary part of global warming regulations is this Spring the government has been deciding on enacting the Climate Security Act, or the Lieberman-Warner Bill. Per the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the bill would contain mandatory provisions in the name of climate change that would impose a $1.2 trillion global warming tax ($4,000/ person).
In the meantime the US would likely be relegated to third-world status because of millions of lost jobs; higher gas, power and heating bills; and more expensive consumer goods. Even the Energy Information Administration (EIA) says just this bill would result in a 9.5% drop in manufacturing output. Even Senator George Voinovich (R-Oh) warned that this bill “could result in the most massive bureaucratic intrusion into the lives of Americans since the creation of the IRS”. By reducing CO2 emissions by 80%, supply will be forced down and prices will be raised.
An MIT study shows the bill would raise gas prices 42% by 2020 and electricity 55% by 2015. The EPA says this meddling would cause a cumulative reduction in growth of GDP by 0.9-3.8% by 2030 (Wall Street Journal// 5/27/08). Inhofe admits the poor already face energy costs as a much higher percentage of their income than wealthier Americans. While most Americans spend ~4% of their monthly budget on heating and other energy needs, the poorest 5th of Americans spend 19%.
One can also believe the scientific community. Back a few years ago there were at least 100 scientists who signed a document saying that global warming was likely due to natural factors—not man made. Now, according to Paul Weyrich (Free Congress Foundation), there are 2000 pro-man-made global warming scientists on the UN climate change panel who claim that the issue is settled. But there are over 31,000 scientists who have signed a document saying any global warming is due to natural causes.
Many now make the case that we may indeed be in a period of global cooling. The data is so overwhelming that even the UN had to acknowledge it. So now the best thing proponents of man-made global warming can do is to suggest that global warming is taking a 10 year break on account of absence of sunspots.
Of course if one doesn’t believe public or government sources, then it’s always good to go with the pure science. Maybe man shouldn’t be denoted to cause the same things God has set in motion. Man is becoming technically astute. But he has a few limitations.
Kevin Roeten
http://kevinroeten.us/
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