'Who Should Be Ahead In The Presidential Polls?'
By Malcolm Hedges (09/08/08)
As a practical and theoretical consideration the candidates status should reflect something close to the public positions. In actual reality, it's much more complex.
As a general observation, many of the polls are biased in one manner or another so results are all subject to being taken with a grain of salt.
Historical observations tend to suggest that a Democrat candidate must enjoy an ~15% lead in the polls to garner a win.
A myriad of reasons could cause the disparity: bias, false responses and faulty poll targets are some thoughts.
Whatever the status, political machines and their fanatical factions tend to react and often over react to the results.
On this date, the Republican ticket is generally winning in the polls. So what?
The Democrat ticket is in total panic and internal calls for political anarchy is a serious consideration. The Democrat Leftist fringe elements will just go nuts!
We must all remember that polls don't count dead, fake, illegal and "vote early and often" voters.
In 2000 and 2004 polls kept the machines and fringe nuts pacified because the Democrat ticket was leading in them there "polls".
Based on political and social history, I suggest that the Republican ticket daring to lead in the polls is inviting general chaos till election day is over.
I sincerely hope I am wrong, however I can't find any reason to disprove my opinion.
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